CWI · Closing Wisdom Index
What is CWI?Closing Wisdom Index — how the market's price on this team to win moved from the opening line to kick-off: (closing − opening) ÷ opening. Prices are the median across bookmakers.
- Negative — backed. Odds got shorter: the market grew more confident in the team.
- Positive — drifted. Odds got longer: the market moved away from the team.
- Within ±2% — stable. Normal price noise, not a signal.
Closing odds are the market's sharpest estimate. CWI tracks sentiment, not results — a team can drift and still win.
The summary is a median, so one extreme price (say, a 30.00 away outsider) can't distort it. With fewer than ~10 matches, read it as a rough guide.
AHI · Asian Handicap Results
What is AHI?Asian Handicap results — how bets on this team settled once the bookmaker's goal handicap was applied to the final score (regular time).
- −1.25 — the team gives 1.25 goals (favourite); +0.75 — it gets a 0.75-goal head start (underdog).
- Covered — the bet won. Quarter lines (.25 / .75) split the stake, so they can end as a half win or half loss.
- Push — exact tie on a whole line, stake returned; not counted in the cover rate.
A cover rate above 50% means the team beat the bookmakers' expectations more often than not. P/L shows what a flat 1-unit stake on the team would have returned.
Lines and prices: 1xBet's main line for each match, so the handicap's strength varies from game to game. With fewer than ~10 matches, treat the numbers as a rough guide.
main line for each match — the handicap's strength varies from game to game.
CWI · Closing Wisdom Index
What is CWI?Closing Wisdom Index — how the market's price on this team to win moved from the opening line to kick-off: (closing − opening) ÷ opening. Prices are the median across bookmakers.
- Negative — backed. Odds got shorter: the market grew more confident in the team.
- Positive — drifted. Odds got longer: the market moved away from the team.
- Within ±2% — stable. Normal price noise, not a signal.
Closing odds are the market's sharpest estimate. CWI tracks sentiment, not results — a team can drift and still win.
The summary is a median, so one extreme price (say, a 30.00 away outsider) can't distort it. With fewer than ~10 matches, read it as a rough guide.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Opening | Closing | CWI | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov ’26 | Barcelona A | — | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00% | · Stable · so far |
| 8 Nov ’26 | Getafe H | — | 1.65 | 1.45 | −12.12% | ↓ Backed · so far |
| 30 Oct ’26 | Espanyol H | 0–1 L | 1.44 | 1.40 | −2.78% | ↓ Backed |
| 24 Oct ’26 | Valencia A | 2–1 W | 2.18 | 2.09 | −4.13% | ↓ Backed |
| 17 Oct ’26 | Elche H | 0–0 D | 1.45 | 1.43 | −1.38% | · Stable |
| 10 Oct ’26 | Real Madrid A | 0–1 L | 8.00 | 7.15 | −10.62% | ↓ Backed |
| 20 Sep ’26 | Levante H | 3–1 W | 1.57 | 1.54 | −1.91% | · Stable |
| 17 Sep ’26 | Malaga A | 3–1 W | 1.99 | 1.98 | −0.50% | · Stable |
| 14 Sep ’26 | Real Betis H | 1–2 L | 1.91 | 1.98 | +3.66% | ↑ Drifted |
| 5 Sep ’26 | Deportivo La Coruna H | 2–3 L | 1.49 | 1.46 | −2.01% | ↓ Backed |
| 28 Aug ’26 | Alaves A | 0–1 L | 2.32 | 2.27 | −2.16% | ↓ Backed |
| 23 Aug ’26 | Atletico Madrid A | 2–2 D | 4.10 | 4.32 | +5.37% | ↑ Drifted |
AHI · Asian Handicap Results
What is AHI?Asian Handicap results — how bets on this team settled once the bookmaker's goal handicap was applied to the final score (regular time).
- −1.25 — the team gives 1.25 goals (favourite); +0.75 — it gets a 0.75-goal head start (underdog).
- Covered — the bet won. Quarter lines (.25 / .75) split the stake, so they can end as a half win or half loss.
- Push — exact tie on a whole line, stake returned; not counted in the cover rate.
A cover rate above 50% means the team beat the bookmakers' expectations more often than not. P/L shows what a flat 1-unit stake on the team would have returned.
Lines and prices: 1xBet's main line for each match, so the handicap's strength varies from game to game. With fewer than ~10 matches, treat the numbers as a rough guide.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Price | Score | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct ’26 | Espanyol H | −1.25 | 1.90 | 0–1 | LLost | −1.00u |
| 24 Oct ’26 | Valencia A | −0.25 | 1.88 | 2–1 | WWon | +0.88u |
| 17 Oct ’26 | Elche H | −1.25 | 1.92 | 0–0 | LLost | −1.00u |
| 10 Oct ’26 | Real Madrid A | +1.5 | 2.03 | 0–1 | WWon | +1.03u |
| 20 Sep ’26 | Levante H | −1 | 1.80 | 3–1 | WWon | +0.80u |
| 17 Sep ’26 | Malaga A | −0.25 | 1.66 | 3–1 | WWon | +0.66u |
| 14 Sep ’26 | Real Betis H | −0.75 | 2.19 | 1–2 | LLost | −1.00u |
| 5 Sep ’26 | Deportivo La Coruna H | −1 | 1.72 | 2–3 | LLost | −1.00u |
| 28 Aug ’26 | Alaves A | −0.25 | 1.89 | 0–1 | LLost | −1.00u |
| 23 Aug ’26 | Atletico Madrid A | +0.75 | 1.82 | 2–2 | WWon | +0.82u |
main line for each match — the handicap's strength varies from game to game.Villarreal · La Liga 2026 Season in Numbers
How did Villarreal perform in the La Liga 2026 season?
xG and points-per-game figures come from WeBetSmart's football model — see the ratings methodology for how they are calculated.