CWI · Closing Wisdom Index
What is CWI?Closing Wisdom Index — how the market's price on this team to win moved from the opening line to kick-off: (closing − opening) ÷ opening. Prices are the median across bookmakers.
- Negative — backed. Odds got shorter: the market grew more confident in the team.
- Positive — drifted. Odds got longer: the market moved away from the team.
- Within ±2% — stable. Normal price noise, not a signal.
Closing odds are the market's sharpest estimate. CWI tracks sentiment, not results — a team can drift and still win.
The summary is a median, so one extreme price (say, a 30.00 away outsider) can't distort it. With fewer than ~10 matches, read it as a rough guide.
AHI · Asian Handicap Results
What is AHI?Asian Handicap results — how bets on this team settled once the bookmaker's goal handicap was applied to the final score (regular time).
- −1.25 — the team gives 1.25 goals (favourite); +0.75 — it gets a 0.75-goal head start (underdog).
- Covered — the bet won. Quarter lines (.25 / .75) split the stake, so they can end as a half win or half loss.
- Push — exact tie on a whole line, stake returned; not counted in the cover rate.
A cover rate above 50% means the team beat the bookmakers' expectations more often than not. P/L shows what a flat 1-unit stake on the team would have returned.
Lines and prices: 1xBet's main line for each match, so the handicap's strength varies from game to game. With fewer than ~10 matches, treat the numbers as a rough guide.
CWI · Closing Wisdom Index
What is CWI?Closing Wisdom Index — how the market's price on this team to win moved from the opening line to kick-off: (closing − opening) ÷ opening. Prices are the median across bookmakers.
- Negative — backed. Odds got shorter: the market grew more confident in the team.
- Positive — drifted. Odds got longer: the market moved away from the team.
- Within ±2% — stable. Normal price noise, not a signal.
Closing odds are the market's sharpest estimate. CWI tracks sentiment, not results — a team can drift and still win.
The summary is a median, so one extreme price (say, a 30.00 away outsider) can't distort it. With fewer than ~10 matches, read it as a rough guide.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Opening | Closing | CWI | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov ’26 | Racing Santander A | — | 2.17 | 2.08 | −4.15% | ↓ Backed · so far |
| 8 Nov ’26 | Rayo Vallecano H | — | 1.70 | 1.72 | +1.18% | · Stable · so far |
| 1 Nov ’26 | Athletic Club A | 1–2 L | 3.34 | 3.60 | +7.78% | ↑ Drifted |
| 25 Oct ’26 | Levante H | 2–1 W | 1.67 | 1.56 | −6.59% | ↓ Backed |
| 18 Oct ’26 | Malaga A | 5–2 W | 2.15 | 2.20 | +2.33% | ↑ Drifted |
| 11 Oct ’26 | Deportivo La Coruna H | 3–2 W | 1.65 | 1.72 | +4.24% | ↑ Drifted |
| 20 Sep ’26 | Valencia A | 3–2 W | 2.60 | 2.50 | −3.85% | ↓ Backed |
| 13 Sep ’26 | Atletico Madrid H | 0–3 L | 3.00 | 3.40 | +13.33% | ↑ Drifted |
| 7 Sep ’26 | Elche A | 3–2 W | 2.39 | 2.13 | −10.88% | ↓ Backed |
| 3 Sep ’26 | Celta Vigo H | 0–0 D | 2.02 | 1.92 | −4.95% | ↓ Backed |
| 29 Aug ’26 | Espanyol H | 2–1 W | 1.90 | 1.85 | −2.63% | ↓ Backed |
| 26 Aug ’26 | Real Madrid A | 1–4 L | 7.50 | 13.00 | +73.33% | ↑ Drifted |
| 21 Aug ’26 | Real Betis A | 0–1 L | 3.65 | 3.50 | −4.11% | ↓ Backed |
AHI · Asian Handicap Results
What is AHI?Asian Handicap results — how bets on this team settled once the bookmaker's goal handicap was applied to the final score (regular time).
- −1.25 — the team gives 1.25 goals (favourite); +0.75 — it gets a 0.75-goal head start (underdog).
- Covered — the bet won. Quarter lines (.25 / .75) split the stake, so they can end as a half win or half loss.
- Push — exact tie on a whole line, stake returned; not counted in the cover rate.
A cover rate above 50% means the team beat the bookmakers' expectations more often than not. P/L shows what a flat 1-unit stake on the team would have returned.
Lines and prices: 1xBet's main line for each match, so the handicap's strength varies from game to game. With fewer than ~10 matches, treat the numbers as a rough guide.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Price | Score | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov ’26 | Athletic Club A | +0.25 | 2.10 | 1–2 | LLost | −1.00u |
| 25 Oct ’26 | Levante H | −0.75 | 1.76 | 2–1 | ½WHalf won | +0.38u |
| 18 Oct ’26 | Malaga A | −0.25 | 1.86 | 5–2 | WWon | +0.86u |
| 11 Oct ’26 | Deportivo La Coruna H | −0.75 | 1.81 | 3–2 | ½WHalf won | +0.41u |
| 20 Sep ’26 | Valencia A | 0 | 1.89 | 3–2 | WWon | +0.89u |
| 13 Sep ’26 | Atletico Madrid H | +0.25 | 1.94 | 0–3 | LLost | −1.00u |
| 7 Sep ’26 | Elche A | −0.25 | 1.78 | 3–2 | WWon | +0.78u |
| 3 Sep ’26 | Celta Vigo H | −0.25 | 1.70 | 0–0 | ½LHalf lost | −0.50u |
| 29 Aug ’26 | Espanyol H | −0.75 | 1.99 | 2–1 | ½WHalf won | +0.49u |
| 26 Aug ’26 | Real Madrid A | +1.25 | 2.75 | 1–4 | LLost | −1.00u |
| 21 Aug ’26 | Real Betis A | +0.25 | 2.09 | 0–1 | LLost | −1.00u |
Real Sociedad · La Liga 2026 Season in Numbers
How did Real Sociedad perform in the La Liga 2026 season?
xG and points-per-game figures come from WeBetSmart's football model — see the ratings methodology for how they are calculated.

